Friday, June 15, 2007

2007 WSOP, Day 15: First or Forget It

First or Forget ItGonna move back over “on the street” today and share a quick story about my own travails at the tables. Haven’t played a heck of lot over the past two weeks. As I look back through my little black record book, I see I’ve only logged a few hands here and there. Mostly still sticking with pot limit Omaha, although partly inspired by some of the mixed events at the WSOP I have sat down at a couple of H.O.R.S.E. tables as well.

Recently I had a few hours’ respite and decided to jump into a 6-max PLO MTT on Stars, one of those $5.00+$0.50 tourneys with rebuys. Almost 200 other runners joined me, and with all of the rebuys (over 400) and add-ons (nearly 100), we ended up with a nice-sized prize pool of over $3,500.

I don’t play a lot of rebuy tourneys. Hell, I don’t play a lot of tourneys, period, these days. So I decided to set myself a limit of a single rebuy, and knuckled down to watch for good opportunities during that first hour.

I’d been doing a lot of folding, picking up a couple of small pots by accident on checked-down hands, when somewhere in the middle of Level 2 (blinds 15/30) I was on the button and was dealt 7sKh7hAs. A couple of players limped in, I bumped it up to 110, and both called. The flop came 7c8h4s. The first to act was a short-stacked player who rapidly bet pot -- 550 -- leaving himself only 150 behind. The second player, who had over 2,000 in chips, made the call. I knew one -- probably the short-stack -- had to have the straight here. I decided this to be a decent enough opportunity to gamble with my first buy-in, and so pushed. Both players called, making a total pot of over 4,000.

We flipped our hands over, and I saw that both of my opponents held 6-5-x-x for the flopped the straight. Neither had any other draws, though, so I was in decent shape. Was even better when the turn brought the 6h, giving me (and me only) a flush draw as well. The river was the 9c, however, busting me. I rebought, knowing these were going to be my last 1,500 chips for the tourney.

About ten hands later I was dealt 2dQh8sKh in the big blind and was allowed to see a flop for free. And a beauty of a flop it was -- 9hJsTh -- giving me the nut straight and a redraw to the second-nut flush. I led out with a 100-chip bet (two-thirds the pot), and HyperBully raised pot. I reraised, of course, and we had it all in before the turn. He showed 7cAd9dQd, essentially requiring one of the three kings to steal this one from me. None came, and I’d doubled up to 2,900.

I was still at around 3,000 in chips when the rebuy period ended. Sticking to my original plan, I didn’t purchase the add-on, and so was sitting on a below-average stack when play resumed. Didn’t really mix it up until Level 5 when I got into another confrontation with HyperBully. Dealt 9d9cQdJs on the button, I limped in with a few others to see a flop of 9h4sAs. HyperBully led out with a pot-sized bet of 600 and I just smooth-called. The 4c on the turn filled me up, and I let HyperBully do my betting for me. I was up to 6,050.

I continued to sit tight. Glanced at the PokerStars stat box at one point and saw I was seeing only about a third of the flops -- very tight, really, considering we were six-handed. By the next break I was up over 10,000 in chips. Still below average, but healthy.

As the third hour began, I did something I don’t think I’ve ever done before in a tourney -- I purposely ignored looking at the leaderboard and payout structure. I had no idea how many players were left, nor how many places paid. I decided instead just to concentrate on the five players at my table and try to gather as many of their chips as I could.

The strategy seemed to be working. Doubled up in Level 9 when I turned another full house from the small blind. Picked up a few more smallish pots, then a big one when my A-A-x-x held up against a medium-sized stack who’d pushed. Had accumulated over 60,000 by the time we reached the 3-hour break.

Somewhere in there we had gone hand-for-hand, so I was aware we had made the money. Still, I continued with the tunnel-vision act, deciding not to worry about the cabbage and simply play to win.

On the first hand of Level 13, I called a button raise from the small blind with 5dKcKhQh. The flop came 2s8h2d and I led out with an aggressive bet only to see the button player push his remaining chips. To be more specific, there was nearly 50,000 in the pot, and I only had to put in a little over 10,000 to see two more cards. And I’d still have nearly 40,000 even if I lost the hand. Knew I was probably behind -- even way behind -- but I made the sketchy call anyway. My opponent flipped over Jh8d8sAs for the flopped boat, so I was in sad shape. Spiked one of the two kings on the river, though, and suddenly found myself just under 100K in chips. (Poor guy offered a few choice observations from the rail, all well-earned by yours truly.)

Not longer after that hand, I ended up in a huge confrontation with SirApes who also had nearly 100K in chips. SirApes and I had been at this same table for at least 100 hands, and he’d been routinely taking advantage of my (mostly) tight play by repeatedly stealing my blinds whenever the opportunity arose. I had taken a few chips off of him in one hand where I’d called his preflop raise, called his flop bet, then picked off a river bluff when I held low trips. But mostly he’d gotten the better of it, and I might have been a little antsy to put him in his place.

So a little history here when I find myself in the big blind with 6s8s6d5c and facing another preflop raise from SirApes. The blinds were 1,000/2,000, and he’d pumped it to 6,000. I debated a moment, then called, deciding if I hit something nice he’d be receiving a nice little sucker punch.

The flop appeared to fit with my plan -- 6c9c5s -- giving me middle set. I bet 11,000 (just under the pot), and SirApes just called. I was virtually certain that he hadn’t flopped the straight or higher set, as I understood from his past play that he’d be raising either of those with the flush draw out there. The turn brought the Th, which to me didn’t change a thing. I checked, intending to push if he tried anything. And he did, overbetting 34,000. I raised all-in (a whopping 82K) and he called instantly, turning over Kc2cAd9h.

I was right. A flush draw . . . and really nothing else. And he’s just called off his entire stack here, hoping to catch that club. And two of them -- the 5 and 10 -- are no good to him, of course, so he’s only got seven possible outs. The CardPlayer Omaha calculator tells me I’m 82% to win.

But the Ac on the river made me a 100% loser, and in dramatic fashion I was suddenly down to just a couple of big blinds. Two hands later I was done.

My first reaction was to be very satisfied with my play. I’d made a good read on the hand that crippled me, and I felt as though I’d played (mostly) a smart game throughout. And I’d played to win the sucker, not just limp into the cash, which added to my satisfaction.

That’s when I finally permitted myself a look at the payouts. Oh, crap.

I’d landed in 15th place, netting me $53.25 for my efforts. Not bad, I thought. I’ll take that for a ten-buck investment. Then I looked up the chart. First paid over $900, and any final table seat paid over $100. I had probably been in the top six going into that fatal hand, and might well have cruised into at least another fifty bucks, if not more. I immediately began to wonder if I should have taken my foot off of the gas there at some point. Even though I did manage to get my money in very good in the big hand with SirApes, I could’ve probably waited for an even better opportunity. What do you think?

I’m convinced that my play was certainly influenced by all of the bracelet-chasing I’ve been watching so closely over the past two weeks -- where for so many of the players the approach is “First or Forget It.” I’m sure that’s what Johnny Chan is going to be thinking when going for his 11th bracelet tonight as they play out Event No. 23, the $1,500 pot limit Omaha event. He’s in 4th place with 23 players remaining -- right about where I was in my tourney when I decided to go for it against SirApes.

Might be a good idea to watch how Chan plays it early on tonight. Do the pros push like I did when they get down close to the big money? Are they willing to risk going up against the only other big stack in that situation?

At least some do, as an Event No. 23 hand from late last night demonstrates. The hand involves Scott Clements and Justin Scott. There were 31 players left. Clements had about 135,000 and Scott about 120,000, making them first and second in chips when the hand went down. Here’s how Mean Gene described it for PokerNews:
Clash of the Titans
This is one of those hands you circle in red so you don’t forget it. Our two chip leaders, Scott Clements and Justin Scott, saw a flop of 9dTd5c. Justin Scott led out for 23,000 and Clements raised enough to set Justin all-in. Justin called and showed Ad3dJs4c for the nut flush draw, while Clements had 9h9sAh8h for the set of Nines. The Jd on the turn gave Justin the nut flush . . . and then the Jc spiked on the river to give Clements the boat and the biggest pot of the tournament. He’s now the big chip leader with 255,000, while Justin Scott goes out in 31st place.

Sounds pretty familiar, actually, with the flopped set and flush draw both demonstrating a willingness to go for it. I suppose I might look at a hand like this and take solace. Would’ve been damned nice to have outraced the flush draw like Clements did, though!

See how Event No. 23 -- and all of the other action -- plays out by heading over to PokerNews for live reports.

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Thursday, June 14, 2007

2007 WSOP, Day 14: The Partial Information Game

The Partial Information GameA slower night, relatively speaking, at the WSOP yesterday. Only one new event began (Event No. 22, $5,000 No Limit Hold ’em), and the other three all completed their final tables before midnight Vegas time. Today two more events get cranked up -- the $1,500 pot limit Omaha (Event No. 23) and the $3,000 Stud Hi-Lo (Event No. 24).

Wanted to say a word here about a couple of issues that have arisen at the WSOP, both concerning media coverage of the event. The first has to do with the exclusive rights issue I’ve discussed a little bit previously. The other concerns the so-called “Bluff Tent” or sequestered area where selected final tables are being staged.

Live Blogging and Exclusive Rights

Read an interesting article in yesterday’s USA Today about a reporter getting ejected from an NCAA baseball tourney game for live blogging from the press box at the event. According to an NCAA spokesman, “live coverage online is a long-standing ‘protected right’ that is bought and sold.” Bloggers can report on things like “atmosphere” or other items that do not directly refer to “game action,” but when it comes to telling what is happening on the field, that’s strictly forbidden. The article goes on to explain how similar restrictions are in place at other major sporting events, including the NBA playoffs and the U.S. Open.

The article made me think, of course, about the arrangments that have been made between Harrah’s, Bluff Magazine, and PokerNews for reporting on the WSOP. In a post last week, I shared some thoughts about the arrangement, one which I personally see as necessitated logistically by the way poker tournaments are currently run. In that post I quoted Adam Schwartz (of Rounders) complaining that by naming an “exclusive content provider” for digital publishing, “the World Series isn’t taking themselves seriously like an NHL, a NASCAR, or an NFL.”

As I said there, I do understand Schwartz’s point about how a private organization like Bluff Magazine whose sponsors have certain interests in the poker world might well show certain biases in their coverage of the WSOP. My sense is that Bluff has not taken advantage of that potentiality to the degree that CardPlayer did last year, though I’m willing to hear objections to that thesis.

What I’m reading in the story about the blogging reporter at the NCAA game, however, seems to run counter to what Schwartz is saying here when he tries to compare the WSOP to other major sports leagues. In opposition to Schwartz’s claim, one might argue that by granting exclusive rights with regard to the coverage of the WSOP, Harrah’s is, in fact, operating very much like other professional sports leagues when it comes to managing the online coverage of their product.

Whether or not doing so means “taking themselves seriously” is a matter of conjecture, I suppose. But I do think there’s an attempt being made here by Jeffrey Pollack and Harrah’s to package and market the WSOP according to the professional sports league model.

Poker in a Vacuum

Speaking of reporting . . . today Dr. Pauly reports how some pros have been critical of the so-called “Bluff Tent” -- that sectioned-off area where some final tables are being staged and broadcast sort-of live as part of the pay-package the World Series of Poker has going over on its site.

Mike “the Mouth” Matusow certainly doesn’t care for the tent. In Event No. 19, Mike Matusow busted out in 11th place, and so didn’t make it to that final table which had been scheduled to take place in the sequestered area. (WSOP officials made a switch last night and decided to stage the final table of Event No. 21 -- the one featuring Daniel Negreanu and Erick Lindgren -- in the tent instead.) According to a PokerNews report, Matusow was overheard saying “I might not get to tomorrow. And if I do get there, I'm not going in the box.”

Matusow’s quote was discussed over on PokerWire Radio yesterday. Host Joe Stapleton expressed surprise that more players weren’t “taking that stance” against playing in the sequestered area, but Gavin Smith pointed out that all of the players have signed an agreement to play in the tent if asked to do so (or forfeit their final table seat). “Yes, he would go in the box, if they decided he was going into the box,” was Joe Sebok’s answer to Matusow’s boast.

As Dr. Pauly goes on to point out, the reporters don’t care much for the tent either. (He calls it the “Black Hole.”) Those reporting from sequestered final tables cannot release any information until an hour after it occurs so their live reports won’t precede the delayed webcast. So there’s a kind of weirdly detached artificiality surrounding those final tables -- no audience, delayed broadcasts/reports, and busted players being forced to stick around until the table completes. Officials may tinker with the formula here over the next few weeks, but it looks like for this year, anyway, they’re stuck with the “Black Hole.”

Objections to the tent probably (mostly) stem from that same dislike of “exclusivity” that fuels opposition to Bluff’s status as an “exclusive content provider.” We all hate that sort of stuff, instinctively protesting any sort of restrictions on free speech and/or restraints on our access to information that do not seem immediately necessary to us.

Such is the world, alas. We don’t always get see, hear, or say everything we want.

Even so, there’s a lot to be had by heading over to PokerNews for them there live reports.

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Wednesday, June 13, 2007

2007 WSOP, Day 13: Final Table Fun

Rio Hotel & Casino, host of the 2007 WSOPI’m back. Had a nice, short little break there. Finished David Spanier’s Total Poker, which I do recommend. May write something about it here in the next few.

Meanwhile, I’ll be back at the virtual rail tonight to follow what should be some fun final tables. Daniel Negreanu and Erick Lindgren both made the final table of Event No. 21, the $1,500 No Limit Hold ’em Shootout event. And Humberto Brenes, Greg Raymer, and John Phan are also playing at final tables this evening.

Mentioned last post how until yesterday there had been only four players thus far who had made two final tables. A couple more joined the list last night, and Humberto Brenes has made his third final table. Here are your multiple final tablists (going into today’s action):
Humberto Brenes (Events No. 7, 13, and 19)
Walter Browne (Events No. 10 and 16)
John Phan (Events No. 5 and 19)
Greg Raymer (Events No. 14 and 20)
Tom Schneider (Events No. 5 and 16)
Marco Traniello (Events No. 4 and 11)
It’s still early, but all six of these players have a decent shot at the newly-christened Milwaukee’s Best Light World Series of Poker Player of the Year Award. (See story here.) The POY Award considers results from all bracelet events except the $50,000 World Championship H.O.R.S.E. event (Event No. 39) and the $10,000 No-Limit Texas Hold ’em event, a.k.a., the Main Event (Event No. 55).

I don’t really see much reason for excluding these two biggies from the count. WSOP Commish Jeffrey Pollack says by doing so “We now have a triple crown” of sorts at the series -- the POY, the $50K H.O.R.S.E. winner, and the Main Event winner. I’d still count all 55 events, though.

According the WSOP site, POY points are calculated as follows:

Points system for the 2007 WSOP POY






At the start of today, Tom “Oops! I Won too Much Money” Schneider is leading the pack with 155 points, followed by Steve Billirakis and Alexander Kravchenko, both of whom have 110 points. If Brenes were to finish 1st or 2nd tonight in his event -- Event No. 19, $2,500 No Limit Hold ’em -- he’d take the points lead. Click here for the updated standings.

And go check out PokerNews’ live reporting from the WSOP for the latest.

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Tuesday, June 12, 2007

2007 WSOP, Day 12: Undercover Posting

Sneaky ShamusSo I hadn’t planned on posting anything until mid-week as I’m out of town on a sort-of-vacation (am tagging along with Vera while she attends a conference). Scored a little table here in the corner of one of the conference rooms that offers wi-fi access to the intertubes, and so I’ve been able to catch up on all things WSOP. Gonna try to sneak a post up here before anybody realizes I don’t have one of those nametags hanging around my neck . . . .

I see Allen Cunningham has won his fifth bracelet, taking down Event No. 13, the $5,000 pot limit Hold ’em event. That makes three straight years Cunningham has won a bracelet. As Earl Burton reports, that feat puts Cunningham in a fairly elite group. Only four other players have ever done it -- Johnny Moss, Doyle Brunson, Erik Seidel, and Gary Berland. This is Cunningham’s third bracelet in Hold ’em events (the other two were NL); he’s also won bracelets in Seven Card Stud and Deuce-to-Seven.

I also see that Phil Hellmuth managed -- on the 11th day of the WSOP -- to score an 11th bracelet yesterday, again in NL hold ’em, outlasting 2,627 other runners in Event No. 16. Must have employed them black belt techniques he’s been selling. As Dr. Pauly relates over on Tao of Poker, Hellmuth made much of the date’s significance: “Today is June 11th,” he said. “My sister Molly’s birthday is 11-11-71 so it’s fitting that I give her number 11.” (I suppose it would have been strange for him to have mentioned it being my birthday yesterday.) Say what you will, but Hellmuth simply crushes those big WSOP NLHE fields.

Finally, I also see how Tom Schneider made it all of the way to 4th place in the $2,500 H.O.R.S.E. event (Event No 16), pocketing a cool $54K . . . perhaps to be used to pay the entry fee for Event No. 39 (the $50,000 H.O.R.S.E. World Championship)?

By the way, I keep recommending you go check out PokerNews’s live coverage. For just about all of the final tables, B.J. Nemeth is providing the excellent reports, often relating every hand. If you go back through the reporting from yesterday’s final table of the H.O.R.S.E. event, you’ll see how Nemeth not only does a great job relating the action, but he also offers a lot of extra information about the players and goings-on at (and around) the table. For instance, you’ll see mixed in here a few reports of Tom’s wife, Julie, cheering on the Donkey Bomber. Here’s one, coming soon after Tom had held off elimination when he managed to scoop a 100,000-chip pot in Omaha/8:
Post-Hand Comments From Mrs. Schneider

After Tom Schneider's big hand, his wife had snuck under the rail to get a closer look, and she was still worried after the river card, even though he clinched it. Someone pointed out that he already had the nut. When the river card also gave him a low, someone said, and now he's got two nuts.

Happy that her husband is still alive in the tournament, Mrs. Schneider excitedly said, “I'll take two nuts!” Ali Eslami quipped, “You’ll have to wait a bit -- he’s busy.”
Gotta love it. By the way, Tom is one of only four players thus far who have made two final tables at this year’s WSOP. The other three are Marco Traniello (Events No. 4 and 11), Humberto Brenes (Events No. 7 and 13), and Walter Browne (Events No. 10 and 16). And he’s the only one of that group who took one of those final tables down.

Like I’ve said, do go over to PokerNews for those live reports. You can also listen to audio from some of the final tables over at the WSOP official site by clicking here. Here's the schedule -- the days with audio coverage are in green. (These audio broadcasts are freebies, by the way, unlike the video stuff also being offered.)

Uh oh . . . here comes someone with a nametag and stern look. I’m gonna make scarce. Look, if anybody asks, you didn’t see nuthin’ . . . .

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Monday, June 11, 2007

Birthday Break

It's my birthday!Only time for a quick post as I am leaving town for a couple of days. So a short break from the regular WSOPish goings-on around here as I take a quick trip to refresh and recharge. And . . . it so happens . . . it’s my birthday. So I might have a piece of sheet cake. Or at least a popsicle.

Meanwhile, scroll down if you to read about Friday’s hearing of the House Financial Services Committee on the question “Can Internet Gambling be Effectively Regulated to Protect Consumers and the Payments System?” And down and down and down.

If you need a laugh after that, go download the latest episode of Beyond the Table -- or just play it on the player over there on the right. This one was recorded the day before the WSOP began, so none of the voices you hear belong to WSOP bracelet winners. The last one for which that can be said, actually. Do note what Tom says about split games.

And when yr done listenin’, head over to PokerNews’ live reporting from the WSOP for all the latest.

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Sunday, June 10, 2007

A Hearing Impaired

Rep. Barney Frank presiding over Friday's House hearing“I think the real reason for this legislation [i.e., the Unlawful Internet Gambling Enforcement Act of 2006] is that people don’t like gambling and don’t think other people ought to gamble. There is a moral disapproval of gambling . . . .” -- Congressman Barney Frank (D-MA)

Rep. Frank uttered this statement -- one he’s made many times before -- about two-thirds of the way through Friday’s House Financial Services Committee hearing on the question “Can Internet Gambling be Effectively Regulated to Protect Consumers and the Payments System?” Frank here acknowledges fundamental differences between those who oppose gambling and believe laws should be made to prohibit it and those who do not oppose gambling and/or do not think the government should be imposing such prohibitions.

A little later in the hearing, Frank pointed out that even if there were a “100% foolproof” way to prevent minors from accessing online gambling sites, “the [opposing] sides wouldn’t change” their positions. “That is,” continued Frank, “I believe the motivation for trying to further restrict the ability of people to gamble is based on a moral disapproval of gambling [and] fear about addiction,” and such disapproval isn’t going to be mitigated by any arguments about regulation or control.

In a sense, Frank here seems to be acknowledging his own Don Quixote-like status as someone on a quest -- i.e., to see his proposed Internet Gambling Regulation Enforcement Act (H.R. 2046) be passed into law -- that cannot possibly be realized. Frank knew that before and during Friday’s hearing, but his decision to withdraw the IGREA (reported in this morning’s Cleveland Plain Dealer) further demonstrates his understanding that Congress isn’t ready for such a bill. Frank had said previously that he wouldn’t put the IGREA up for a House vote until he was assured it would pass. He now knows his bill currently has small hope of making it out of committee, and so has decided to go back to the drawing board.

Even if the IGREA is no longer on the table, Friday’s hearing was of use for those interested in seeing where debates about online gambling in the U.S. presently stand, as well as in the shape those debates might be taking in the near future.

Having watched the hearing, I thought I’d share some of what was said with a few reactions thrown in along the way. The first 35 minutes were taken up with ranking committee members’ statements; then the invited witnesses were allowed to speak for the next 40 minutes or so; then the committee members spent about 45 minutes more asking the witnesses questions.

What I’ve decided to do here is to present the positions and personalities of the five committee members who offered opening statements and of the six invited witnesses. (I’m not here referring to the two committee members who arrived late to ask questions.) When discussing the Congressmen, I’ve combined references to their opening statements and to their questions of the witnesses.

* * * * *
First, the witnesses:

Radley Balko, Senior Editor, Reason magazine

Besides being editor of Reason, Balko also keeps a popular blog called The Agitator. He was once a policy analyst for the CATO institute. Balko essentially made the standard libertarian argument that “What Americans do in their own home, with their own money, on their own time is none of the government’s business.” In the context of talking about online gambling, he specifically alluded to poker and its significance to American history and culture, arguing that the online version is simply an extension of the same game.

To those with moral objections to gambling (online or otherwise), Balko says simply “don’t gamble.” He concluded his statement by citing some of the benefits of regulation. Balko was a worthwhile contributor to Friday’s discussion, even if all of his points have already been made many times by those who oppose the UIGEA (including Frank and Rep. Ron Paul).

Gerald Kitchen, CEO, SecureTrading Ltd.

Kitchen was called as an expert on internet commerce. His company is based in the U.K., and through an authoritative-sounding British accent insisted that “it is only in a licensed and regulated world that we participants are able to enforce such policies to protect all participants.” He explained how the U.K.’s regulation of online gambling had largely achieved the goal of protecting consumers.

While Kitchen spent more time speaking of the benefits of regulation than actually demonstrating the feasibility of regulation, he did state that his company can determine with “99.9% accuracy” the identity of its customers with identifying IP addresses. He pointed out how being able to KYC -- Know Your Customer -- is much more difficult in a prohibition environment (such as we have in the U.S.)

Jon Prideaux, CEO, Asterion payments

Prideaux has been an independent payments consultant with VISA, although (as he pointed out) he’s never specifically done any consultant work with regard to online gambling. Like Kitchen, Prideaux spoke in favor of “control processes” that ensure online sites can know their customers. He believes the state plays a role in ensuring such controls are in place, as has been demonstrated in the U.K.

Prideaux made an interesting observation that drew on his experience as a consultant. In his experience, “regulated internet gambling is significantly less dispute-prone than other digital sales, such as music downloading or internet service provider subscriptions.” He stated that he had never received complaints regarding online gambling, nor had his company ever uncovered what might appear to be money-laundering or other such “suspicious” activities in the world of online gambling. All of these benefits, he concluded, stemmed from operating under a “regulation regime” and not a “prohibition regime.”

Jeff Schmidt, CEO, Authis

Schmidt has worked with Microsoft and was once the Chief Information Officer at Ohio State University. His recent experience has focused on identity verification. Schmidt professed not to have any opinion regarding gambling, but was only present to speak about the reliability of age and identity verification and geographic verification (or “IP geo-location”). “These technologies,” argued Schmidt, “are not reliable in their current form today.”

Schmidt claimed that at present attempts to verify online users fail on the order of around 20%. He mentioned how fake ID’s and the like are a significant problem in bars and other establishments, and that online the problem is even worse. He then illustrated his position with what seemed to me to be needlessly silly examples. In the first, he handed a piece of paper with his username and password to a fellow witness in order to show how difficult it is to verify identity over the internet. In the second, he spoke of having checked IP locators from his Washington, DC hotel room and discovered them locating him elsewhere.

Rev. Gregory Hogan, American Baptist pastor

Rev. Hogan was called as a witness to share the sensational story of -- as he put it -- his son’s “descent into the black hole of addiction to internet gambling, especially poker.” I won’t rehearse the sordid details of the pastor’s son’s story (you can read it here). For those who oppose online gambling, young Jr.’s fall from star student to bank robber (he currently is serving a jail sentence for his crime) is the nuts.

Hogan moved through the example of his son rather quickly, made a reference to how he was glad his son only ended up in prison and not a suicide, then cited a study stating 5% of all college students “will become compulsive gamblers when exposed to online gambling.” He concluded with a reference to Paul’s epistle to the Romans to whom he asked “Shall we continue to do evil that good may prevail?”

Michael Colopy, Senior V.P. of Communications for Aristotle, Inc.

Aristotle, Inc. is the leading provider of verification technology for most elected officials. Indeed, at one point Rep. LaTourette acknowledged that he used Aristotle’s services. As might be expected from a V.P. of Communications, Colopy was quite well spoken, and began by explaining how a lot of claims about the inadequacy of verification systems (such as had been made by Schmidt) were no longer valid. “While time flies,” Colopy remarked, “technology rockets forward.”

Colopy then showed a clip from that 60 Minutes episode of November 2005 about online gambling, the one in which Nigel Payne, the CEO of Paradise Poker, was interviewed. Colopy’s point was to say that even though we are only 18 months down the road from that story, much of what it reported is no longer the case. Later, during the question period, Colopy would directly refute Schmidt’s claims about the failure rates of verification systems: “What was said earlier about how reliable it is does not square with the facts of 2007, but it probably is relevant to the facts of 2001.”

* * * * *
And now, the Congressmen:

Rep. Barney Frank (D-MA)

Frank’s opening remarks contained nothing those of us who have followed the issue had not already heard. He referred to John Stuart Mill’s On Liberty and its argument that it should not be the goal of government to threaten its citizens to become better adults. Rather, when it comes to moral behavior, citizens simply have to be allowed to decide for themselves. He stated that, in his opinion, the UIGEA represented “the most substantive interference of the internet that has ever been enacted into law.”

During the question period, Frank challenged Schmidt to clarify his 20% failure rate claim. (Schmidt’s response shed only modest light on his earlier claim.) He asked Rev. Hogan if he would be in favor of restricting other forms of online gambling, too, like betting on horse races. (Hogan didn’t really respond to the question.) Frank also questioned the relevance of geographically identifying users.

Rep. Spencer Bachus (R-AL)

If online poker players were not aware of Rep. Bachus prior to Friday’s hearing, they certainly are now, as his performance Friday has most certainly provided them with a new enemy.

Bachus began by reading (somewhat unsteadily) from a prepared statement in which he insisted the UIGEA “does not prohibit anything that was not already illegal.” And, as he subsequently made clear, Bachus believes that online gambling has always been illegal, even if many legal scholars beg to differ. He then cited a study conducted by the University of Connecticut Health Center that claims 74% of those who use the internet to gamble have “serious, chronic problems with addiction” and that many of those resort to criminal activities to support their habit.

I took a peek at the 2002 study to which Bachus refers, and indeed it does identify 74% of those who participated in the study who had experience gambling online as being either Level 2 (problematic) or Level 3 (pathological) gamblers. Of course, if one looks a little closer at the findings, one sees that the study was not specifically about internet gambling, but about gambling behaviors among individuals who require free or reduced-cost health care. All of those studied had come to the University of Connecticut Health Center seeking medical attention yet did not possess adequate insurance or money to pay for the costs of their care. Most were dental patients. So we’re not exactly talking about a random sample here.

Only 389 individuals’ questionnaires were used, and of those, only 31 of those studied had any experience with online gambling. So basically what we are talking about here are 23 people -- most of whom are dental patients without insurance -- who have gambled online and who also could be considered “problematic” or “pathological” gamblers. Hardly an adequate sample size for Rep. Bachus to claim unflinchingly that 74% of all of those who gamble online have “serious, chronic problems with addiction.”

Bachus cited another Harvard study that found those who gamble at an early age are more likely to become problem gamblers. He referred to a third study conducted my McGill University that found one-third of teenaged compulsive gamblers attempt suicide. He questioned whether existing technology could adequately verify the age of those who attempt to gamble online. He then concluded by saying he saw “no compelling reason to change the course that Congress wisely charted last year when it passed” the UIGEA.

Bachus’s questions of the witnesses were mostly baffling, and largely inappropriate. Howard Lederer had been scheduled to testify as a witness earlier in the week, though ended up cancelling his appearance. (His presence in Event No. 11, the $5,000 Seven Card Stud event, explains why he didn’t make the hearing.) Perhaps anticipating Lederer’s participation, Bachus read from a few excerpts from player Full Tilt biographies that appear on the Full Tilt Poker website. He started out by reading from the bio of Ross Boatman (a member of the Hendon Mob), highlighting references to his having started playing poker at the age of 10. “I guess the age verification didn’t work,” said Bachus with a smirk. It was pointed out to him by one of the witnesses that there was no such thing as online poker when Ross Boatman was ten years old. (Boatman was born in the mid-1960s.)

(Incidentally, following Friday’s hearing Full Tilt revised Boatman’s biography, removing all references to his having played poker as a minor.)

Bachus then read from bios of “Howard” and “Allen” -- he didn’t bother to mention last names -- focusing on Lederer’s early struggles and Cunningham’s decision not to pursue a college degree. He again tried to imply somehow that these Full Tilt pros were playing online poker illegally prior to turning 18 -- a ludicrous claim with regard to Lederer (born in 1964), and highly unlikely with regard to Cunningham (born in 1977).

Bachus then said to Gerald Kitchen, CEO for the U.K.-based SecureTrading Ltd. (a financial transaction provider) “You actually make a lot of money processing the payments of these illegal gambling sites,” a charge which Kitchen easily denied. “The companies that we process for do not take U.S. bets,” Kitchen replied.

Bachus introduced a letter from the National Coalition Against Gambling Expansion, sharing aloud its reference to Jack Abramoff, the lobbyist who had fraudulently campaigned against earlier versions of what became the UIGEA. Frank would later take issue with Bachus’s pointless dropping of Abramoff’s name: “That kind of McCarthyite guilt-by-association has no place in this discussion,” said Frank. Rep. LaTourette would agree that Bachus’s attempt to bring Abramoff into the discussion was “disgusting.” Bachus concluded by pointlessly asking the panel if they were aware of a 1992 law passed regarding sports betting. (They were not.) He then left the hearing, not bothering to stay for his colleagues’ questions.

The impression Bachus left was of an utterly obtuse, uncomprehending Congressman who not only refuses to budge when it comes to his support of the UIGEA, but doesn’t seem capable even of understanding arguments about any of the issues raised by the law.

Rep. Jim Wexler (D-FL)

Rep. Wexler’s statement was brief. He made two essential points. One was to clear up the misunderstanding (perpetuated by Rep. Bachus) that all forms of online gambling are illegal. Obviously they are not. Secondly, Wexler spoke of “parental responsibility” and how the government should not be in the business of watching over children to make sure they don’t do anything like gamble online.

Wexler is an animated speaker, and punctuated his points with a lot of hand-waving and a voice filled with indignation. He made multiple references to games like poker and mahjong -- those games identified as “skill” games in his recently-introduced Skill Game Protection Act -- and how the government should not restrict citizens from being able to place bets on such games. I frankly thought his comments about skill games seemed out of place at the hearing, particularly since Frank’s bill makes no distinction between different forms of gambling.

Wexler did not stay for the question period.

Rep. Ron Paul (R-TX)

Rep. Paul is one of the few Republicans on the Financial Services Committee in favor of the IGREA. Paul presented himself as being for freedom of choice and keeping the government out of citizens’ private lives as much as possible. He believes Frank’s bill, as a genuine regulatory instrument, protects the internet in a needed way.

Paul made what I thought to be a somewhat contradictory statement. He was speaking of the right of individuals to spend their own money how they wish, but added “I’d like to see the day when the individual has an economic right to spend all their money and not just the money left over after the government took their share.” A nice thought. However, the IGREA, if passed, would then open the door to such taxation. Not sure if Paul completely appreciated the effect of his words here.

Paul also did not stick around for the question period.

Rep. Steven LaTourette (R-LA)

Rep. LaTourette spoke with an even tone, but he nevertheless struck me as lacking the sort of gravitas one would expect in a Congressman. Referring at one point to the fact that one can only withdraw $200 at a time from an ATM, LaTourette actually said “it pisses me off.” He also shared the information that his choice of college had depended on that state’s lower drinking age. Not really how a Congressman should be presenting himself, I’d say.

LaTourette revealed his position on Frank’s proposed law by stating that he was “saddened that before the regulations [stipulated by the UIGEA] were written we are attempting to adjust” the law. Referring to his own inability to prevent his children from obtaining credit cards, LaTourette extrapolated that it is not possible at present to prevent minors from accessing online gambling sites.

LaTourette did make one insightful remark when he said to the witnesses “We very often have people come in with different opinions. Unless I’m wrong, we have people [today] coming in with different facts.” He then gave Schmidt and Colopy opportunities to address their differences of opinions. (The witnesses both essentially held to their original positions.)

* * * * *

In the end, the hearing did manage at least to highlight some of the key issues associated with regulating onling gambling, though I think little was concluded along those lines. Much as Frank believes those who originally helped pass the UIGEA were motivated primarily by moral arguments, so, too, did Friday’s hearing get somewhat derailed by those wishing to impose moral judgments.

Hope at least some of those who matter nevertheless heard what Frank and others who oppose the UIGEA had to say.

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Saturday, June 09, 2007

2007 WSOP, Day 9: Bill Collector

Lots of bills sitting on Capitol hillFollowing my eighth straight all-nighter (a lifetime record, probably), I managed to wake up in time to make a mediocre showing at today’s Ante Up! Intercontinental Poker Series Event No. 6 (Limit Omaha Hi-Lo).

Might be tempted to blame them brain-cloudin’ cobwebs, but that would just be fruitlessly reachin’ for excuses. I had won a couple of small pots early, then at the end of Level 5 had a nice juicy scoop snatched away from me on the river, leaving me with two-thirds of my starting stack. Ended up pushing with a damned dubious O8 holding -- 9cQsQdAs -- and was out just before the first break.

My so-so play ensured that the tourney highlight was Gadzooks giving me a chat box shout from Vegas. She mentioned meeting up with Falstaff and Columbo, and I know Khanwoman and ElSnarfoGrande are there as well. Have fun terrorizing the tourists with yr straddles, y’all!

The WSOP marches on. As do various legislative efforts by those opposed to the Unlawful Internet Gambling Enforcement Act. Prior to today, I was aware of three House bills introduced in response to UIGEA -- Frank’s Internet Gambling Regulation Enforcement Act (H.R. 2046), Berkeley’s internet gambling study bill (H.R. 2140), and Wexler’s Skill Game Protection Act (H.R. 2610). This morning I noticed a fourth bill -- the Internet Gambling Tax Act (H.R. 2607) -- appears to have been (very quietly) introduced late in the week by Rep. James McDermott (D-WA). Haven’t seen the text of this fourth bill, although it looks like another attempt to regulate online gambling. There’s also that lawsuit against Attorney General Alberto Gonzales to prevent the enforcement of the UIGEA. Will be interesting to see if anything comes of that.

I did manage to watch yesterday’s House Financial Services Committee hearing, pulled together by committee chair Barney Frank in order to push his IGREA. Saw the first half live, then watched the rest on tape today. The hearing -- “Can Internet Gambling Be Effectively Regulated to Protect Consumers and the Payments System?” -- lasted just over two hours, and provided a forum of sorts for Frank and certain committee members to express their feelings about online gambling, as well as a chance for their invited witnesses to opine on the feasibility of regulation and/or the rightness of laws against online gambling.

Am in the process of gathering some thoughts together about yesterday’s hearing, which I’ll try to share here before too long. My initial impression was largely influenced by Frank’s opening apology to the invited witnesses for the fact that a number of committee members weren’t present at the hearing. “When I originally scheduled this hearing we were under the impression that there would be votes this morning,” said Frank. Indeed, that is the next step in the legislative process -- you introduce legislation, you take it to a committee, and the committee votes on whether or not to forward the bill to the entire body. The IGREA currently only has 19 co-sponsors from Frank’s committee (out of 70 total members), and the fact that he couldn’t get committee members even to come to the hearing did establish (for me, anyway) a kind of air of futility over the proceedings.

Like I said, I will eventually share some thoughts about the hearing. Always interesting to hear poker discussed on the Hill. And while I’m mostly pessimistic about most of these bills -- I really only think Berkeley’s will make it beyond committee -- I do think the accumulated effect of these efforts to curb or even halt the UIGEA will be positive. As I’ve said before, even if debates over these bills don’t result in their becoming laws, such discussions will necessarily be of benefit insofar as they necessarily highlight the UIGEA’s many problems.

Remember, go check out PokerNews’ live reporting from the WSOP for the latest from the series.

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Friday, June 08, 2007

2007 WSOP, Day 8: Running the Numbers, Numbering the Runners

Running Number, via the 'Know Your Numbers' page (click to view)One week down, six to go. It’s a marathon, not a sprint. That’s for certain.

Was trying to get a sense for how the numbers of entrants in this year’s World Series of Poker compared with past totals. During the first seven days of the WSOP this year, 12 events got underway. Six of those events are described by the WSOP folks as “new” events -- some really are new (like the Omaha 8/b-Stud 8/b event the Donkey Bomber took down), while others are not really new but familiar games with different buy-ins. So that means we’ve had six events which at least superficially compare with previously-staged events -- i.e., same game, same buy-in, a “defending champion,” etc.

All six of these events were also featured in 2004-2006, and all but one in 2003. Here is how this year’s numbers compare to those of the past four years:



Green numbers indicate an increase; red numbers indicate a decline. As you can see, numbers are down for four of the six events this year, and the overall number of entrants is down as well.

The increased number of events this year -- and the fact that most days see two different events starting, and a lot of overlap as well -- is the most obvious explanation for lower numbers in individual events. Also, this year’s Event No. 1 -- the $1,500 NL Hold ’em event -- would have drawn a larger pool had the registration process not encountered that bottleneck-snafu, causing inordinate delays and discouraging some from sticking around.

The other events here for which the figures seem most meaningful are the PL Hold ’em event (down about 30%) and the other NL Hold ’em event (down about 20%). A lot of those players in the Hold ’em crowd don’t enter tourneys featuring other games, so the daily-double-styled schedule doesn’t entirely explain the decline in those two events, I’d conjecture.

Like many observers, I do think the Main Event field will be down, with the UIGEA (specifically its prompting of Harrah’s to enforce its no third-party registration rule) being a primary factor. If I had to guess, I’d say the Main Event will probably be down by about a third -- that is, we’ll see something like 5,400-5,800 entrants. I do believe a number of those who “qualified” for their Main Event online either have decided to bank their winnings or have used their cabbage to enter multiple smaller events.

Two more bracelets awarded tonight. Event No. 10, the $2,000 NL Hold ’em event, includes Justin “ZeeJustin” Bonomo at its final table. Event No. 11, the $5,000 Seven Card Stud event, features Phil Ivey going for his sixth WSOP bracelet. Incidentally, all five of Ivey’s WSOP bracelets have been in non-Hold ’em events.

Event No. 12, the $1,500 Six-Handed NL Hold ’em event, plays down to its final table today. A wild day at that one yesterday. The play was apparently very fast from the get-go, and they were able to play down from 1,427 entrants to just 62. Hard to fathom, but that means they had approximately two players bustout every minute all day.

And two more events get underway, Event No. 13, the $5,000 Pot Limit Hold ’em, and Event No. 14, the $1,500 Seven Card Stud.

Go check out PokerNews’ live reporting from the WSOP for the latest.

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Thursday, June 07, 2007

2007 WSOP, Day 7: Part Three -- On CardPlayer’s Mysteriously Changing Headlines

In a minute there is time<br />For decisions and revisions which a minute will reverseOne last tidbit. Not to pick on CardPlayer overly, but I’ve been noticing something interesting going on with Allyn Jaffrey Shulman’s article from May 30th regarding the looming 270-day deadline for federal officials to send their instructions to “financial transaction providers” regarding enforcement of the UIGEA.

You might recall how the day after Shulman’s article appeared, I complained about the headline: “What Will Happen When the UIGE Act Goes into Effect.” My point was the headline was unnecessarily misleading -- the UIGEA was already “in effect,” it just hasn’t been enforced.

When I looked back at the article last night, I noticed the headline had been changed. Now it read “Time Ticking Down for Gov to Implement UIGE Rules.” More accurate, that. Almost as though CardPlayer heard my whining, though I’m sure someone else had pointed out to them the problem with the original header.

Looked back at the article again today and the headline had changed again! Today the same article (nothing of the body has been altered) is titled “AG Gonzales Not Sure How to Enforce UIGE Act.” I’m guessing this third headline responds in part to the iMEGA lawsuit from earlier this week (see my first post today).

Whatever CardPlayer’s reasons for constantly changing the headlines of its articles, journalistic ethics don’t really recommend that sort of thing. Here on Hard-Boiled Poker, I try to avoid the edit-after-the-fact, never changing content (other than to correct the odd “surface-level” error -- ’cos I’m a nit that way, dontcha know). And when I feel the need to add a note to a previously published piece, I always indicate I’ve done so, listing the date of the new material.

Seems more than a little out-of-bounds to keep switching the headline of an article in response to news of the day.

But like I said, I don’t want to pick on CardPlayer too much right now. They’ve got other things to worry about.

Go check out PokerNews’ live reporting from the WSOP for the latest.

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